Ummm... no

Some people make claims simply because they want to believe them. For instance, this one:

Yesterday, President Bush was in blue state Oregon, and today he is in blue states Iowa and Wisconsin. Kerry, meanwhile, is spending the entire day in Wisconsin. The fact that Bush is going after Kerry's states, while Kerry is spending his time shoring up states that he must have in his column in order to have a chance, rather than attacking in Bush's 2000 states, means that Bush is leading in both parties' polls.

If that were true, then the internal polls have changed dramatically as Kerry visits red state Ohio and Bush fights to maintain Florida today. What a totally illogical argument to make.

On a side note, I'd argue we are down to about six swing states at this point. Looking at www.2.004k.com, there are a number of states close, but that favor a particular candidate fairly consistantly. Only six have seen the leader change or ended up tied: Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Electoral vote tally? Bush 51, Kerry 22.

Also comforting to Kerry supporters is this:

But the survey also suggests that Kerry continues to claim a large lead in key battleground states. In these 13 states, Kerry held a 53 percent to 43 percent advantage among likely voters.

My thoughts? Kerry holds New Mexico, and more than likely holds one or both when it comes to Iowa and Wisconsin. Which leaves the battle firmly in Bush country.