New CA poll numbers

We've been waiting for a while, but DaivdNYC at Swing State Project provides a summary of the latest poll numbers for Arnold's initiatives. It doesn't look good, but, he notes, a couple of numbers are trending in our favor, including Prop 75 (Screw the Unions) and Prop 77 (Screw the Democrats w/ Republican Redistricting).

SUSA, who conducted the poll, notes:

1) Support for all 5 measures is strongly tied to approval of Governor Schwarzenegger.

2) Interest in ballot measures intensifies as the election approaches and ad dollars are spent to influence voters. These numbers can and should be expected to fluctuate, perhaps significantly.

3) SUSA asked summary questions; other organizations have read the entire text of the ballot measures. As SUSA says, "On 11/9/05, we will know which question wording produced a more accurate pre-election poll."

Important points, all. But I wonder is point three is a bit misworded, wondering not which poll will be more acurate, but rather if the summary poll questions will actually push voters to support bills they otherwise wouldn't. Unfortunately, there's no real way to know.

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