Get Your Blog Up

“This administration is populated by people who’ve spent their careers bashing government. They’re not just small-government conservatives—they’re Grover Norquist, strangle-it-in-the-bathtub conservatives. It’s a cognitive disconnect for them to be able to do something well in an arena that they have so derided and reviled all these years.”

Senator Hillary Clinton

Thursday, August 25, 2005

One week does not a trend make

At work today, when I heard that jobless claims dropped this week by 4000, I figured that someone on the right would link and claim it as a sign of a strong economy, even though the week before the number of jobless claims jumped by 8000 claims.

Anyone can take one week's numbers and suggest a trend. But it's not a good indicator at all. People tend to look at the four week moving average to look for signs of a trend. This week, that average jumped by 1,250 claims.